José Miguel Ponciano Castellanos

Saint Andrews Botanical Garden, Scotland 2008.

Contact:

Centro de Investigacion en Matematicas CIMAT A.C.
Calle Jalisco s/n. Col. Valenciana
C.P. 36000 A.P. 402
Guanajuato, Guanajuato, MEXICO
Tel (52)-473-7327155 ext. 49251.
E-mail: ponciano@cimat.mx
CV: (in pdf)

Education:

1993-1998: B.S. Biology and “Licenciatura en Biologia” U del Valle, Guatemala, with Dr. M. Dix.
1999-2001: MS Ecology, U Austral de Chile with Carlos A. Moreno.
2001-2004: MS Statistics, U of Idaho, with Brian Dennis.
2003-2006: PhD Bioinformatics, U of Idaho, with Paul Joyce at the Mathematics Department (Moscow, Idaho, U.S.)
2006-2007: Post-Doctorate in Population Viability Analysis with Mark L. Taper (Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana, U.S.)

Research Interests:

Statistical ecology and statistical genetics
Stochastic processes applied to population dynamics modeling
State-space models
Conservation Biology

Organized events (NEW!!):

Here at CIMAT we are organizing the 2009 Spring School in Probability and Statistics. This year's topic will be "Stochastic modeling and inference in science: applications to population genetics".

Students

Recent talks:

July 2008, Saint Andrews, Scotland: Hierarchical models in Ecology: Confidence intervals, hypothesis testing and model selection using data cloning

Journal Publications:

Ponciano, J.M., Mark L. Taper, Brian C. Dennis and Subhash R. Lele. 2008. Hierarchical models in Ecology: Confidence intervals, hypothesis testing and model selection using data cloning. In press Ecology, Statistical Reports section.
Dennis, B., Ponciano, J.M. & M.L.Taper. 2008. Replicated sampling increases efficiency in monitoring biological populations. In press. Ecology.
De Gelder L., Williams J.J., Ponciano J.M., Sota M. and E.M. Top. 2008. Adaptive plasmid evolution results in host range expansion of a broad-host-range plasmid. Genetics 178: 2179-2190.
Ponciano J.M, De Gelder L, Top E.M. and P. Joyce. 2007. The population biology of bacterial plasmids: a Hidden-Markov Model approach. Genetics, 176(2):957-968 . Supplemental file
De Gelder L., Ponciano J.M., Joyce P., and E.M. Top. 2007. Stability of the broad host range Inc-P-1beta plasmid pB10: no guarantees for a long term association. Microbiology, 153: 452-463.
Dennis B., Ponciano J.M., Lele S., Taper M. and D. Staples. 2006. Estimating density dependence, process noise and observation error. Ecological Monographs 76(3):323-341
Ponciano J.M., Vandecasteele F, Hess T., Forney L.J., Crawford R.L. and P. Joyce. 2005. A stochastic approach to model the effect of environmental factors on bacterial growth. Appl Envrion Microbiol. 71:2355-2364
Joyce P., Abdo Z., Ponciano J.M., L. De Gelder, L.J. Forney and E.M. Top. 2005. Modeling the impact of periodic bottlenecks, unidirectional mutation and observational error in experimental evolution. J. of Math. Biol. 50:645-662.
De Gelder L., Ponciano J.M, Abdo Z, Joyce P, Forney L.J. and E.M. Top. 2004. Combining mathematical models and statistical methods to understand and predict the dynamics of antibiotic sensitive mutants in a population of resistant bacteria during experimental evolution. Genetics 168:1131-1144

Work in progress:

Ponciano J.M., La J.H, Joyce P. and L.J. Forney. In prep. Understanding bacterial diversification through stochastic population modeling
Ponciano J.M., Mark L. Taper and Brian C. Dennis. Variance scaling and decomposition for combined demographic variability, Environmental noise, and individual heterogeneity.In prep.
Mark L. Taper, Jose M. Ponciano, J.M., Shepard, Brad B. and Clint C. Muhlfeld. Risk based viable population monitoring of the Upper Flathead bull trout. Prepared for Conservation Biology.

Courses tought:

Multivariate Analysis
Statistical Ecology (Ecología Estadística)
Stat 401: Statistical Analysis (at University of Idaho)

Links:(under construction)

R-related stuff
Ecological modeling
Statistical ecology
LaTeX
Kids and family

Guatemala (1982), at the Autosafari Chapin (1980-Present)